The Business Times
business-time-50
NEW GLOBAL ORDER

未曾发生的关税战：经济学家们在特朗普的贸易博弈中忽略了什么

现实远比预想复杂，结构性转变等非传统因素正发挥作用。

google-preferred-sourceAdd BT as a preferred source
    • 尽管中美双边贸易额锐减33%，但中国对亚细安的电动汽车出口却飙升了75%。
    • 尽管中美双边贸易额锐减33%，但中国对亚细安的电动汽车出口却飙升了75%。 图片来源：THE NEW YORK TIMES

    Khor Hoe Ee

    Published Tue, Jan 13, 2026 · 07:00 AM

    本文由 AI 翻译，关键事实请以原文为准。

    查看原文

    2025年4月2日，当美国总统 Donald Trump 宣布征收“解放日”关税时，全球的经济学专家都为一场灾难做好了准备。

    亚细安+3宏观经济研究办公室 (Amro) 预测，亚细安经济体将面临0.5至1个百分点的国内生产总值损失，而越南和柬埔寨等依赖出口的国家将面临严重冲击。

    主要金融机构预测美国将出现经济衰退，股市在4月2日后的几天内暴跌近20%。

    此翻译对您是否有帮助？

    GeopoliticsEconomicsGlobal economyTrump tariffsAseanNew Global Order

    TRENDING NOW

    The firm said it “periodically reviews its organisational structure” to ensure it remains aligned with its strategic priorities and long-term business needs.

    CapitaLand Investment retrenches 90 Singapore staff in 2026 as part of restructuring

    The list names (clockwise from top left) Meta’s Eduardo Saverin, CDL’s Kwek Leng Beng, Sea’s Forrest Li, Sheng Siong’s Lim Hock Chee, FEO’s Robert and Philip Ng.

    Wealth of Singapore’s 50 richest diverges as OCBC, Sheng Siong boom offsets tech slide

    Bali’s property market has been on a tear since the pandemic, with the tourism rebound and strong foreign demand driving prices higher.

    Can Bali swop beach capital for global capital without the skyscrapers?

    Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney speaking at a press conference in Ottawa, on Aug 22, after trade talks with the US collapsed.

    Canada’s fight with the US has far bigger stakes than trade

    Latest T-bills Treasury Bills Results & Interest NewsLatest SSB Singapore Savings Bonds NewsLatest COE Certificate of Entitlement News
    Latest Johor-Singapore SEZ NewsLatest BTO Build To Order & Sales of Balance NewsLatest STI Straits Times Index NewsLatest SGX Dividends, Share Price NewsLatest Bonds Market NewsLatest Singapore Stocks To Buy NewsLatest Singapore Economy News
    View More